BALSS

Gunnar Henderson

2026 fantasy baseball stats, Steamer ROS projections, and Baseball Savant Statcast metrics.

Fantasy Outlook

Henderson has quickly established himself as one of the premier young hitters in baseball. At 24, he already has a 35-homer season under his belt with double-digit steals and shortstop eligibility. The most exciting development in 2026 is a barrel rate jump: his early-season barrel rate is nearly double his 2025 mark of 8.5%, suggesting a real mechanical improvement in his swing.

The key stat to watch is whether the barrel rate sustains above 12%. Going from 8.5% to the mid-teens is a massive change that separates a 25-homer hitter from a 35-homer hitter. His xwOBA and avg exit velocity both support the improvement. Steamer projects 28 HR, 24 SB, and a .275 AVG rest of season, but if the barrel rate holds, 35 HR is realistic.

Verdict: Hold. Henderson at 24 with a barrel rate jump and five-category production at shortstop is exactly the trajectory you want to own. He is a top-10 asset trending toward top-5.

2026 Season Stats

Games125
At Bats505
Hits111
Home Runs20
RBI51
Runs76
Stolen Bases9
AVG.220
OBP.302
SLG.398
OPS.700

Steamer ROS Projections

PA (proj)169
HR (proj)7
RBI (proj)20
R (proj)24
SB (proj)5
AVG (proj).259
OBP (proj).341
SLG (proj).459

Baseball Savant Statcast

xwOBA.318
xBA.242
xSLG.401
Avg Exit Velo89.9 mph
Max Exit Velo111.9 mph
Barrel %7.4%
Hard Hit %45.2%
Sprint Speed28.3 ft/s

2025 Season

2025 Season Stats

Games154
At Bats577
Hits158
Home Runs17
RBI68
Runs85
Stolen Bases30
AVG.274
OBP.349
SLG.438
OPS.787

2025 Statcast

xwOBA.341
xBA.276
xSLG.425
Avg Exit Velo92.1 mph
Max Exit Velo113.9 mph
Barrel %8.5%
Hard Hit %49.2%
Sprint Speed28.5 ft/s

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