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Aaron Judge

2026 fantasy baseball stats, Steamer ROS projections, and Baseball Savant Statcast metrics.

Fantasy Outlook

Judge's raw power remains unmatched. His barrel rate is in the 23-25% range, consistently among the highest in MLB, and his xSLG sits above .500. Even when his batting average dips early in the season, the Statcast profile always supports patience. Steamer projects 42 HR and a .283 AVG rest of season.

The key stat to watch is his average exit velocity. In 2025 he averaged 95.4 mph. Any sustained dip below 90 mph could signal fatigue or a mechanical issue before the stat line shows it. When exit velo holds above 93 mph, the homers come in bunches. Conversely, a depressed exit velo with a high barrel rate means he is squaring balls up but not at full strength.

Verdict: Hold. Judge is a top-3 pick when healthy. If his average starts slow but the barrel rate stays elite, that is a classic buy-low window. Do not sell after a cold stretch; the Statcast profile almost always supports patience.

2026 Season Stats

Games49
At Bats176
Hits46
Home Runs16
RBI30
Runs40
Stolen Bases5
AVG.261
OBP.395
SLG.580
OPS.975

Steamer ROS Projections

PA (proj)633
HR (proj)42
RBI (proj)102
R (proj)109
SB (proj)9
AVG (proj).283
OBP (proj).415
SLG (proj).583

Baseball Savant Statcast

xwOBA.436
xBA.281
xSLG.637
Avg Exit Velo93.8 mph
Max Exit Velo116.2 mph
Barrel %23.5%
Hard Hit %55.7%
Sprint Speed26.8 ft/s

2025 Season

2025 Season Stats

Games152
At Bats541
Hits179
Home Runs53
RBI114
Runs137
Stolen Bases12
AVG.331
OBP.457
SLG.688
OPS1.145

2025 Statcast

xwOBA.460
xBA.300
xSLG.708
Avg Exit Velo95.4 mph
Max Exit Velo118.1 mph
Barrel %24.7%
Hard Hit %58.2%
Sprint Speed27.1 ft/s

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